“[W]hile climate change is not the primary driver of conflict, it can exacerbate conflict risks, particularly in regions with weak governance, high inequality, and political instability,” Vally Koubi writes in her HFG Research and Policy in Brief The Impact of Climate Change on Conflict. 

“As extreme weather events become more frequent, the risk of conflict is likely to rise, driven by their effects on economic stability, agriculture, and migration. To mitigate these risks, strengthening political institutions, fostering social cohesion, and effectively managing migration will be crucial.” 

Koubi’s report analyzes the research so far on the relationship between climate and conflict and concludes with key takeaways, policy recommendations, and areas for future study.

Read or download the report (PDF)